⚠ Fatigue Materializing
Marginal CPL on new spend has crossed above blended CPL
Spend
+$233.81
new spend today
Campaign CPL
$91.56 → $92.64
▲ +$1.08 worse
Frequency
3.20 → 3.25
▲ climbing
CTR
1.50% → 1.49%
▼ slipping
Marginal CPL
$116.91
▲ above blended
Marginal CPL = $116.91 on the new spend — now above the blended CPL of $92.64. The prior refresh ran at $71.59 (below blended). The fatigue flagged on June 1 is now materializing.
Driver — Ad04 "SameRoofDifferentOutcome": 61% of spend ($2,663.76), $110.99 CPL, CTR 1.30%, frequency 2.86 and climbing.
✓ Recommendation
Intervene on
Ad04 now (pause / refresh). Reallocate to
Ad01 "DontReplaceRevive" — STORIES at $27.56 CPL (in target), FEED at $48.72. Refresh the FEED 4×5 creative.
HOLD budget. Quality over volume — GHL confirms downstream conversion is real (10 qualified, 8 demos).